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专家预计下半年中国经济将逐季回升
Stable growth expected amid inflation

来源:中国日报    2022-07-11 15:29



        The national economy is gradually recovering from recent COVID-19 shocks, they said, and the country will likely see positive growth in the second quarter.专家认为,中国经济正逐渐从最近的新冠疫情中恢复,中国第二季度经济有望实现正增长。
        Meanwhile, inflation in the cost of manufactured products in China rose in June at its slowest rate since March 2021. This was brought about with the help of the government's effective measures to reboot work and production reduced by the pandemic. The efforts were directed at stabilizing key industrial and supply chains and ensuring stable supplies and prices while leaving room for further stimulus policy measures to shore up growth.与此同时,由于政府采取有效措施应对疫情导致的停工减产,中国6月份制造业产品成本通胀率创下2021年3月以来的最低水平。这些措施旨在稳定关键行业和供应链,确保稳定的供应和价格,同时为进一步刺激政策留下空间,以支持增长。
        As the pandemic's impact further eases and policy stimulus takes effect, the economy will rebound in both quarters of the second half, Chen said.陈卫东称,随着疫情的影响进一步缓解,政策刺激的生效,经济将在下半年回暖。
        China's producer price index, which gauges manufactured product prices, increased 6.1 percent year-on-year in June, following a 6.4 percent rise in the previous month, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Saturday.国家统计局7月9日表示,6月份生产者价格指数(PPI)同比增长6.1%,上月涨幅为6.4%。
        Wen said consumer inflation came in slightly higher than market expectations, warning of pressures from rising pork prices, imported inflation risks and a gradual pickup in demand.温彬称,消费通胀略高于市场预期,并警告猪肉价格上涨、输入性通胀风险和需求逐步回升带来的压力。
        Compared with the soaring prices in other major economies, China's overall price level is generally stable. Inflation hit a new 40-year high in May in the United States, as the consumer price index rose 8.6 percent year-on-year, US Labor Department data showed.与其他主要经济体的物价飙升相比,中国的整体价格水平总体平稳。美国劳工部数据显示,5月份美国通货膨胀创下40年新高,消费者价格指数同比上涨8.6%。
        Liu Zhicheng, director of the commodity market division at the Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research's market and price institute, said there is little likelihood of further hog price gains in the next few months, considering factors such as China's sufficient supply, slowing pork consumption in July and August and the recent pig feed price declines.中国宏观经济研究院市场与价格研究所大宗商品研究室主任刘志成表示,考虑到中国生猪供应充足、7月和8月猪肉消费放缓以及近期猪饲料价格下跌等因素,未来几个月生猪价格没有进一步上涨的空间。
        Citing some better-than-expected economic indicators in May and June, Zhou said China is likely to post growth in the second quarter. He called for more efforts to further resume production and ensure stable supplies and prices, and monetary policy easing to boost domestic demand, as well as stronger support for SMEs and key projects.周茂华引用了5月和6月一些好于预期的经济指标称,中国经济很可能在第二季度实现增长。他呼吁加大力度进一步恢复生产,确保供应和价格稳定,宽松货币政策以刺激内需,并加强对中小企业和重点项目的支持。
        
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