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| Deutsche Bank raised eyebrows earlier this month by becoming the first major bank to forecast a US recession, albeit a "mild" one.本月初，德意志银行成为第一家预测美国经济衰退的大型银行，该银行预测衰退的幅度“比较温和”。 |
| "We will get a major recession," Deutsche Bank economists wrote in a report to clients on Tuesday.4月26日，德意志银行经济学家在向客户提交的一份报告中写道：“我们将迎来一场大衰退。” |
| "We regard it...as highly likely that the Fed will have to step on the brakes even more firmly, and a deep recession will be needed to bring inflation to heel," Deutsche Bank economists wrote in its report with the ominous title, "Why the coming recession will be worse than expected."德意志银行经济学家在报告中称：“我们认为……美联储很有可能不得不更加坚定地踩下刹车，需要一场深度衰退来遏制通胀。”这份报告标题名为《为什么即将到来的经济衰退会比预期更糟》。 |
| To make its case, Deutsche Bank created an index that tracks the distance between inflation and unemployment over the past 60 years and the Fed's stated goals for those metrics. That research, according to the bank, finds that the Fed today is "much further behind the curve" than it has been since the early 1980s, a period when extremely high inflation forced the central bank to raise interest rates to record highs, crushing the economy.为了证明这一点，德意志银行创建了一个指数，追踪过去60年通货膨胀和失业率之间的距离，以及美联储为这些指标设定的目标利率。该银行称，这项研究发现，与20世纪80年代初以来相比，美联储如今“远远没有跟上形势”，当时极高的通货膨胀迫使美联储将利率提高到创纪录的水平，从而摧毁了经济。 |
| Given that the job market has "over-tightened" , the bank said, "Something stronger than a mild recession will be needed to do the job."鉴于劳动力市场已经过度紧张了，德意志银行称，“需要付出比温和衰退更大的代价来抑制通胀”。 |
| Although Deutsche Bank is pessimistic -- it's the most bearish among major banks on Wall Street -- others contend this gloom-and-doom is overdone.德意志银行是华尔街主要银行中最悲观的，但有人认为这种悲观情绪有些过头了。 |
| UBS is similarly hopeful that the economic expansion will continue despite the Fed's shift to inflation-fighting mode.瑞士银行对经济增长将继续抱有希望，尽管美联储已转向遏制通胀的模式。 |
| "The scourge of inflation has returned and is here to stay," Deutsche Bank said.德意志银行表示：“高通胀的影响已经卷土重来，并将持续存在。” |
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